Thunder and Timberwolves Clash in Crucial Game 4 in Minneapolis
If you’ve been keeping an eye on this year’s NBA playoffs, you know the Timberwolves vs Thunder matchup has been anything but boring. Game 4 is set for Sunday night at Target Center, and plenty hangs in the balance—Oklahoma City leads the series 2-1, but Minnesota grabbed momentum with their win at home in Game 3. Now, the Wolves are desperate to tie it up, and the Thunder want to put a stranglehold on the Western Conference Finals. The game tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN.
Oddsmakers aren’t giving the home team much of a break. The Thunder roll in as 3- to 3.5-point favorites, even with a packed arena full of Minnesota fans. The moneyline for Oklahoma City hovers between -155 and -160, meaning you’d need to stake over one and a half dollars to profit a single buck. For Wolves backers, the line sits between +125 and +135—so the reward is juicier if they come through.
The over/under for total points is set around 218.5 to 219, showing that expectations are high for an offensive duel. If you’re a numbers person, you’ll find it interesting that both teams have trended towards more points in recent playoff games. The Thunder have hit the 'over' in seven of their last eleven, while the Timberwolves did it five of their last eight times in the previous round. Scoring has picked up on both sides, making the over an attractive play for bettors.
What to Watch: Trends, Key Players, and the Betting Landscape
Looking at playoff patterns, there’s something to be said about how teams in Minnesota’s position fare. History shows that squads falling behind 0-2, but taking Game 3 on their home court, tend to fight back hard—they’ve gone 51-43 straight up in this spot over the years. The Wolves are hoping to add to that decent track record, especially after Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle stepped up their games when it mattered.
Oklahoma City, meanwhile, comes into Game 4 with a 6-8 mark against the spread since the start of the postseason. Despite this, their ability to close out games and stay resilient, especially with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the charge, is tough to overlook. SGA has locked in as the go-to scorer, and player props for him are popular in sports books—everyone wants to predict how many points he’ll put up this time. The same goes for Minnesota’s role players; after a slow start to the series, several have found their rhythm shooting the ball at home.
On the betting side, punters are flocking to the Thunder -3 point spread. The logic is simple: OKC has proven itself on the road, kept its composure, and capitalized on second-chance opportunities. The Timberwolves’ offense might be waking up, but they’ll need every spark they can get to hold off an experienced Thunder squad. Many expect points, and lots of them—driven by the Wolves’ improved shooting and OKC’s habit of getting into track-meet style shootouts.
Game 4 isn’t just a must-win for Minnesota—it’s a statement game for both teams. If the Wolves make the most of their home-court edge, we could be staring down a tied series heading back to Oklahoma. But if the Thunder keep rolling and cover the spread again, the West Finals might not last much longer.
May, 27 2025